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Red57
191220.9
228322.5
709415.1
Blue76
142118.3
566521.6
299229.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48720204060801001205776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#34
22.50.7
19.219.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 7.2
29.70.2
29.329.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.4
End1.1
Second
1912
#36
20.90.7
16.316.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.7
blue by 0.7
5665
#11
21.60.2
17.918.1
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5
Third
7094
#29
15.10.7
11.211.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 3.2
1421
#10
18.30.2
15.315.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned