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Red81
406525.1
601723.1
433626.4
Blue95
547226.8
45625.9
347840.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738602040601001201408195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#24
26.40.5
26.326.8
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 14.5
40.90.9
34.235.2
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
Second
25.10.5
22.222.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
blue by 1.7
5472
#16
26.80.9
22.223.1
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Third
6017
#35
23.10.5
19.419.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 2.8
456
#14
25.90.9
19.920.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsEarned