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Red81
940510.6
228322.5
473839.2
Blue59
191220.9
618414.7
880825.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69552040801001208159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.21.3
35.637.0
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
red by 13.4
8808
#30
25.80.5
22.422.9
Auto11.8
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Second
2283
#34
22.51.3
19.921.2
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End2.2
red by 1.6
1912
#36
20.90.5
16.917.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.7
Third
9405
#38
10.62.2
5.67.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 4.1
6184
#42
14.70.5
12.412.9
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed