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Red21
303924.6
18187.1
94568.4
Blue71
45625.9
36417.7
806714.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45540204060801002171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#25
24.61.4
23.121.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 1.4
456
#14
25.91.5
20.822.3
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Second
9456
#32
8.42.3
9.26.9
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End0.6
blue by 9.3
364
#18
17.71.5
15.517.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Third
1818
#48
7.12.3
9.87.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 7.2
8067
#23
14.31.5
11.813.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed