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Red52
97619.4
547226.8
191220.9
Blue78
36417.7
453121.7
238329.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6079020401001201405278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#16
26.80.3
27.026.7
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
blue by 2.9
29.80.2
29.729.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Second
1912
#36
20.90.3
19.619.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.7
blue by 0.9
4531
#13
21.70.2
21.521.3
Auto9.9
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
9761
#45
9.40.5
9.89.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 8.3
364
#18
17.70.2
18.017.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned