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Red65
566521.6
94568.4
45625.9
Blue38
142118.3
93095.3
97178.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613102040801001206538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#14
25.90.9
24.925.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 7.6
1421
#10
18.30.4
17.918.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Second
5665
#11
21.60.9
19.720.6
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 12.8
9717
#43
8.90.4
8.48.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Third
9456
#32
8.41.3
7.28.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End0.6
red by 3.1
9309
#31
5.30.4
4.95.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed