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Red59
473839.2
60685.7
915310.7
Blue48
57855.7
601723.1
255617.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604702040801001205948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.4
37.237.6
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
red by 16.1
6017
#35
23.10.1
21.621.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
Second
9153
#39
10.70.4
10.210.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 6.7
2556
#15
17.30.1
17.017.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
6068
#40
5.70.6
5.15.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End0.3
Level
5785
#47
5.70.2
5.55.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed