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Red102
299229.7
410728.8
804433.8
Blue57
748312.1
361624.8
433626.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1046620408012014016010257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#12
33.80.5
31.932.3
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
red by 7.3
4336
#24
26.40.5
26.626.2
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4
Second
29.70.5
29.530.0
Auto10.3
Teleop18.4
End1.1
red by 4.9
3616
#20
24.80.5
24.824.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Third
28.80.5
28.629.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
red by 16.7
7483
#33
12.10.5
12.512.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed