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Red51
97619.4
915310.7
228322.5
Blue84
410728.8
218319.7
547226.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396902060801005184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#34
22.50.9
18.619.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End2.2
blue by 6.3
28.81.2
22.223.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
Second
9153
#39
10.70.8
11.312.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 16.2
5472
#16
26.81.2
23.124.3
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Third
9761
#45
9.41.1
9.410.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 10.3
19.71.2
13.915.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed