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Red58
978715.6
37536.4
191218.9
Blue54
346819.6
94563.9
299224.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496102040801001201405854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.5
21.922.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
blue by 5.6
24.50.0
27.928.0
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Second
15.60.5
15.816.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 4.0
19.60.0
17.617.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Third
3753
#14
6.40.5
7.58.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End0.6
red by 2.5
9456
#15
3.90.0
7.87.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed