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Red19
99833.1
9993-0.0
433622.5
Blue38
99723.3
94563.9
191218.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32490204060801001201401938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.1
21.020.0
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
red by 3.6
18.90.5
24.924.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Second
9983
#11
3.11.8
6.95.1
Auto0.8
Teleop1.9
End0.6
blue by 0.7
9456
#15
3.90.6
8.47.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End0.0
Third
9993
#16
-0.01.8
6.95.1
Auto0.6
Teleop-0.4
End-0.1
blue by 3.3
9972
#18
3.30.8
6.96.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed