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Red22
99723.3
142113.4
978715.6
Blue39
37536.4
346819.6
433622.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415202060801001201402239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.61.0
15.714.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 6.9
22.50.4
18.818.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Second
1421
#12
13.41.0
15.514.5
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 6.3
19.60.4
18.217.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Third
9972
#18
3.31.6
5.43.8
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End0.1
blue by 3.1
3753
#14
6.40.4
8.48.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed