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Red50
433622.5
94563.9
804429.2
Blue50
59718.7
915312.4
998812.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60270501001505050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.0
27.527.5
Auto7.0
Teleop19.3
End2.9
red by 16.5
9988
#10
12.70.6
11.111.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Second
22.50.0
20.820.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End1.9
red by 10.2
12.40.4
11.211.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Third
9456
#15
3.90.0
2.12.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5971
#17
8.70.4
7.68.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.1