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Red45
19026.7
24622.4
79075.2
Blue53
192231.3
17616.4
431119.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506202040801001204553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#19
26.70.4
20.820.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
blue by 4.6
31.30.4
25.124.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End3.1
Second
246
#24
22.40.4
20.820.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End0.4
red by 2.5
4311
#15
19.90.4
19.819.4
Auto9.9
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Third
7907
#34
5.20.4
4.84.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 1.2
1761
#23
6.40.4
9.69.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed