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Red75
66916.6
271329.7
208422.1
Blue35
417620.0
49253.8
84217.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522404060801007535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.7
23.023.7
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End1.6
red by 9.6
4176
#18
20.00.0
14.914.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Second
2084
#11
22.10.7
15.816.6
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 15.0
8421
#35
7.10.0
6.76.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
6691
#37
6.61.2
5.16.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.1
red by 2.8
4925
#38
3.80.0
3.63.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed