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Red54
287731.6
860415.7
17616.4
Blue42
620111.5
79075.2
206730.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5838020801005442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.1
27.927.8
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 1.0
2067
#12
30.60.3
22.122.5
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
Second
8604
#29
15.70.1
13.313.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
red by 4.2
6201
#27
11.50.3
10.310.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Third
1761
#23
6.40.1
9.29.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End1.6
red by 1.2
7907
#34
5.20.3
4.44.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed