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Red45
242319.9
35979.7
208422.1
Blue105
12536.2
55639.2
271329.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3871020608010012045105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#11
22.10.5
16.617.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
blue by 14.1
125
#1
36.22.3
29.732.0
Auto19.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Second
2423
#22
19.90.5
13.914.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 9.8
29.72.3
23.726.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
3597
#28
9.70.8
7.58.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End0.4
red by 0.5
5563
#36
9.22.3
6.89.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned