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Red59
107316.3
13128.4
53478.0
Blue69
19026.7
860415.7
206730.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55633040507080901001105969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
28.40.5
26.226.7
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
blue by 2.2
2067
#12
30.60.5
22.523.0
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
Second
1073
#21
16.30.5
14.815.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 10.4
190
#19
26.70.5
20.421.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
Third
5347
#31
8.00.9
10.010.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 7.8
8604
#29
15.70.9
13.114.0
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed