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Red85
431119.9
287731.6
19026.7
Blue44
107316.3
620111.5
55639.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8535020601001201408544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.9
31.232.1
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 15.3
1073
#21
16.30.4
16.917.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Second
190
#19
26.70.9
20.821.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
red by 15.2
6201
#27
11.50.4
10.911.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Third
4311
#15
19.90.9
19.320.2
Auto9.9
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 10.7
5563
#36
9.20.4
9.910.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed