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Red60
84217.1
287627.1
242319.9
Blue81
13128.4
35979.7
71625.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5071204060801006081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#13
27.10.2
25.225.4
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 1.3
131
#6
28.41.0
27.028.0
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
Second
2423
#22
19.90.2
14.314.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 5.6
716
#8
25.51.0
24.225.2
Auto12.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
8421
#35
7.10.2
7.98.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 2.6
3597
#28
9.71.5
10.512.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed