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Red74
242319.9
636714.3
417620.0
Blue39
79075.2
12536.2
84217.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4754204060801007439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4176
#18
20.01.6
16.618.2
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 16.2
125
#1
36.20.6
35.234.6
Auto19.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Second
2423
#22
19.91.6
14.516.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0
red by 12.8
8421
#35
7.10.6
8.17.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
6367
#25
14.31.6
12.413.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.1
End2.8
red by 9.1
7907
#34
5.20.6
4.94.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed