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Red53
79075.2
13128.4
196515.4
Blue74
431119.9
7837.0
208422.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459302060801001201405374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
28.40.4
28.428.8
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
blue by 8.6
78
#2
37.00.3
36.636.3
Auto13.8
Teleop19.6
End3.6
Second
1965
#30
15.40.4
13.614.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.2
blue by 6.8
2084
#11
22.10.3
21.020.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
7907
#34
5.20.4
4.34.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.9
blue by 14.6
4311
#15
19.90.3
20.520.2
Auto9.9
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed