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Red39
417620.0
620111.5
287627.1
Blue75
573524.2
175717.6
12536.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50653040607080903975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#13
27.10.5
22.421.9
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 9.1
125
#1
36.21.2
27.128.3
Auto19.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Second
4176
#18
20.00.5
15.014.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 4.2
5735
#10
24.22.0
12.814.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Third
6201
#27
11.50.5
9.59.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 6.1
1757
#16
17.62.0
17.319.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed