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Red74
346742.8
71625.5
431119.9
Blue53
208422.1
287731.6
636714.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9252204060801001201407453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.3
38.338.0
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
red by 11.1
31.60.1
26.826.8
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Second
716
#8
25.50.3
20.920.6
Auto12.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 3.4
2084
#11
22.10.1
14.714.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
4311
#15
19.90.3
19.118.8
Auto9.9
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 5.5
6367
#25
14.30.1
10.610.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed