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Red82
242319.9
346742.8
12536.2
Blue116
573524.2
19026.7
206730.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068305015020082116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.4
40.840.4
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
red by 12.1
2067
#12
30.60.9
29.430.2
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
Second
125
#1
36.20.4
34.233.9
Auto19.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
red by 9.5
190
#19
26.70.9
25.526.3
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
Third
2423
#22
19.90.4
17.917.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 4.3
5735
#10
24.20.9
22.823.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8