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Red111
192231.3
271329.7
107316.3
Blue123
573524.2
19026.7
206730.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8578204060100120140160111123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.8
30.931.6
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End3.1
red by 0.7
2067
#12
30.61.1
27.428.5
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
Second
29.70.8
29.330.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End1.6
red by 3.0
190
#19
26.71.1
23.524.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
Third
1073
#21
16.30.8
15.916.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 7.9
5735
#10
24.21.3
20.621.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8