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Red109
431119.9
346742.8
12536.2
Blue73
287731.6
175717.6
24622.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108755010015010973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.2
40.540.8
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
red by 11.1
31.60.0
31.831.8
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Second
125
#1
36.20.2
34.034.2
Auto19.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
red by 13.8
246
#24
22.40.0
22.622.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End0.4
Third
4311
#15
19.90.2
19.619.9
Auto9.9
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 2.3
1757
#16
17.60.0
17.817.8
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End1.7