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Red63
24622.4
175717.6
287731.6
Blue80
107316.3
271329.7
192231.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798940601001201406380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.2
31.831.6
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 0.4
31.30.0
31.931.8
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End3.1
Second
246
#24
22.40.2
22.622.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End0.4
blue by 7.3
29.70.0
30.230.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
1757
#16
17.60.2
17.817.6
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End1.7
red by 1.3
1073
#21
16.30.0
16.916.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7