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Red60
542217.3
271319.6
500010.0
Blue63
287725.8
549413.3
356615.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394620305060706063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#14
19.61.9
10.011.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
blue by 6.2
2877
#17
25.81.8
19.621.4
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Second
5422
#15
17.31.9
15.917.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
red by 1.5
15.81.1
8.59.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
5000
#29
10.01.9
10.312.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 3.2
5494
#12
13.31.8
13.014.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed