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Red68
581326.1
862616.7
207918.4
Blue39
196515.5
673112.2
395810.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5439020801001201406839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.7
16.717.4
Auto13.2
Teleop11.2
End1.6
red by 10.5
1965
#28
15.50.2
12.813.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Second
2079
#16
18.40.7
15.816.5
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
red by 6.2
6731
#33
12.20.2
12.112.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
8626
#10
16.70.7
14.114.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 6.3
3958
#34
10.40.2
12.312.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed