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Red42
115319.1
63679.7
804613.7
Blue8
362315.4
500010.0
92867.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4339010203050607080428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.6
14.614.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
red by 3.7
3623
#11
15.43.1
14.111.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
8046
#32
13.70.7
15.715.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 3.6
5000
#29
10.03.1
11.58.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Third
6367
#27
9.70.7
7.77.0
Auto5.8
Teleop1.6
End2.3
red by 2.0
9286
#31
7.73.1
10.06.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed