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Red40
31915.7
804613.7
111915.9
Blue38
500010.0
115319.1
234216.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523902060801004038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1119
#19
15.91.2
15.814.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
blue by 3.2
19.10.2
14.113.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Second
319
#21
15.71.2
14.713.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
blue by 1.1
2342
#20
16.80.3
14.213.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Third
8046
#32
13.71.2
15.013.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
red by 3.6
5000
#29
10.00.3
8.48.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed