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Red30
549413.3
63679.7
46721.1
Blue91
242318.4
856716.4
7837.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416702060801001203091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#5
21.11.3
18.316.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 16.4
78
#1
37.62.8
29.732.5
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.3
Second
5494
#12
13.31.3
14.613.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
blue by 5.2
2423
#18
18.42.5
14.416.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Third
6367
#27
9.71.3
7.05.7
Auto5.8
Teleop1.6
End2.3
blue by 6.8
8567
#24
16.42.8
13.616.4
Auto7.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed