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Red77
24617.9
271319.6
234216.8
Blue70
46721.1
96449.4
404824.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5663203040507080901007770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#14
19.60.5
18.719.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
blue by 4.6
4048
#13
24.10.4
24.524.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End3.0
Second
246
#4
17.90.5
17.017.5
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 3.2
467
#5
21.10.4
21.621.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Third
2342
#20
16.80.5
15.916.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 7.4
9644
#26
9.40.4
9.89.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.4