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Red73
356615.8
542217.3
31915.7
Blue54
234216.8
271319.6
24617.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505802040801001207354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#15
17.30.5
16.517.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
blue by 2.2
2713
#14
19.60.1
18.618.7
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Second
15.80.5
14.915.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 2.2
246
#4
17.90.1
17.017.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Third
319
#21
15.70.5
14.915.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
blue by 1.1
2342
#20
16.80.1
15.815.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5