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Red44
657013.9
442216.5
721120.7
Blue49
608134.2
924524.7
99819.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547201001502002504449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#16
20.71.8
19.717.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 13.6
34.21.1
34.233.1
Auto14.5
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
4422
#17
16.51.8
9.98.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.0
End1.4
blue by 8.2
24.71.1
22.521.5
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Third
6570
#21
13.91.8
21.219.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 4.8
9981
#25
9.01.8
8.26.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned50%Ensemble oddsMissed