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Red85
102327.3
438130.0
353834.1
Blue70
721120.7
54823.4
283422.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103740501508570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.3
33.733.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 10.7
548
#19
23.40.4
26.426.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Second
30.00.3
28.127.8
Auto13.4
Teleop14.4
End2.3
red by 7.6
2834
#13
22.40.4
24.123.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Third
27.30.3
28.027.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 6.6
7211
#16
20.70.4
20.320.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed