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Red63
76568.8
6826.2
5126.4
Blue68
612014.1
102327.3
30223.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7169204060801001206368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#10
26.40.7
23.723.0
Auto11.7
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 0.9
27.30.1
27.427.3
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Second
68
#14
26.20.7
29.128.4
Auto11.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 2.9
302
#6
23.40.1
21.221.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.4
Third
7656
#24
8.80.7
11.410.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End2.5
blue by 5.3
6120
#20
14.10.1
14.114.0
Auto8.4
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned59%Ensemble oddsEarned