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Red88
99819.0
30223.4
50333.7
Blue77
353834.1
86222.4
102327.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5210001502008877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#3
33.72.3
29.631.9
Auto13.9
Teleop16.2
End3.6
blue by 0.4
34.10.6
34.433.8
Auto11.5
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
302
#6
23.42.3
21.123.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.4
blue by 3.9
27.30.6
27.326.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
Third
9981
#25
9.03.8
3.16.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
blue by 13.4
862
#22
22.40.6
22.822.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed