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Red90
5126.4
102327.3
612014.1
Blue74
657013.9
924524.7
22627.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757240506080901001109074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.5
27.127.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End3.6
red by 0.2
226
#11
27.10.2
26.927.1
Auto12.3
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Second
51
#10
26.40.5
26.226.7
Auto11.7
Teleop12.3
End2.5
red by 1.8
24.70.2
24.524.7
Auto11.4
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Third
6120
#20
14.10.5
13.914.4
Auto8.4
Teleop3.5
End2.2
red by 0.2
6570
#21
13.90.2
13.713.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1