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Red51
705630.2
86222.4
30223.4
Blue86
54823.4
999412.8
283221.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885602040801001201401605186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.5
30.029.5
Auto11.2
Teleop17.5
End1.4
red by 6.7
548
#19
23.40.7
22.723.4
Auto9.3
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Second
302
#6
23.40.5
23.222.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End4.4
red by 1.8
21.50.7
20.821.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Third
862
#22
22.40.5
22.321.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.3
End2.0
red by 9.6
9994
#15
12.80.7
12.012.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.8