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Red29
454620.1
50915.4
55636.6
Blue39
287622.3
97298.6
395812.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333210204050602939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#10
20.10.2
10.610.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 2.2
22.30.8
12.112.9
Auto10.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Second
509
#12
15.40.2
6.16.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 2.8
3958
#30
12.60.5
10.410.9
Auto8.3
Teleop2.7
End1.6
Third
5563
#36
6.60.2
11.011.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 2.0
9729
#28
8.69.6
19.610.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed