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Red30
176110.6
107312.1
476113.4
Blue79
632842.6
872420.6
3489.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466302040801001203079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#21
13.41.5
15.514.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
blue by 29.2
42.60.6
31.832.4
Auto17.0
Teleop20.7
End4.9
Second
1073
#18
12.11.5
15.514.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 8.4
20.60.6
16.617.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
1761
#25
10.61.5
12.511.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 0.8
348
#16
9.80.6
6.36.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned