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Red51
147411.7
62019.5
791321.4
Blue63
237021.6
55636.6
431118.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42370102030506070805163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7913
#13
21.40.9
15.816.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 0.1
2370
#17
21.63.2
15.218.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Second
1474
#31
11.71.5
11.412.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End0.5
blue by 7.2
4311
#15
18.93.2
12.916.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Third
6201
#22
9.51.5
9.911.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.0
red by 3.0
5563
#36
6.63.2
6.29.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed