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Red33
431118.9
62019.5
111914.3
Blue47
97298.6
81118.2
208414.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49402060801003347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#15
18.91.2
16.114.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 0.7
811
#11
18.20.3
15.816.1
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Second
1119
#26
14.30.7
16.015.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 0.2
2084
#14
14.50.5
10.511.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
6201
#22
9.51.2
11.410.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.0
red by 1.0
9729
#28
8.60.5
11.411.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed