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Red62
81118.2
50915.4
287622.3
Blue38
147411.7
13078.1
127717.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5146304060706238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.1
17.718.8
Auto10.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 4.4
1277
#19
17.80.3
19.419.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End2.7
Second
811
#11
18.20.6
16.116.7
Auto8.6
Teleop7.4
End2.2
red by 6.5
1474
#31
11.70.5
15.414.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End0.5
Third
509
#12
15.41.0
11.512.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 7.3
1307
#32
8.10.3
7.47.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed