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Red108
346736.2
944323.9
3489.8
Blue55
237021.6
127717.8
5016.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7237020608010012014010855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.5
31.332.8
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 14.6
2370
#17
21.61.5
15.517.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Second
23.91.5
22.323.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 6.1
1277
#19
17.81.1
17.118.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End2.7
Third
348
#16
9.81.5
7.18.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 3.9
501
#35
6.01.4
5.36.7
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed