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Red64
287622.3
791321.4
59028.7
Blue47
111914.3
476113.4
172112.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5141102030607080906447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.9
20.822.7
Auto10.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 7.9
1119
#26
14.30.6
14.014.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Second
7913
#13
21.41.2
17.819.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 8.1
4761
#21
13.40.7
12.913.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Third
5902
#27
8.71.9
6.78.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End2.4
blue by 3.7
1721
#23
12.40.9
11.612.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed