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Red57
346736.2
59028.7
111914.3
Blue67
8833.2
147411.7
476113.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626340801005767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.1
32.832.7
Auto13.8
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 3.0
88
#2
33.20.7
29.930.6
Auto12.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
Second
1119
#26
14.30.1
14.514.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 1.0
4761
#21
13.40.7
13.614.4
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End0.9
Third
5902
#27
8.70.1
8.78.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End2.4
blue by 3.0
1474
#31
11.71.0
13.514.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed