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Red71
8833.2
320510.9
417614.1
Blue63
944323.9
50915.4
431118.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60632040801001207163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
33.20.9
30.631.5
Auto12.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
red by 9.2
23.90.4
24.725.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Second
14.11.3
12.213.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 4.8
4311
#15
18.90.5
18.418.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Third
3205
#24
10.91.3
12.113.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 4.5
509
#12
15.40.4
14.014.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed